2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,852 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,001/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,408
Tax + insurance
−$448
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$630
Net cashflow
$515/mo
Annual
$6,183/yr
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.22%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$75,180
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $268k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $260k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Faubion Elementary School (610 students, 73% FRL); Roosevelt High School (1,484 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 37% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 180 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZWPRRN41XWHFKY
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29