2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
957 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Active
· 150 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,174/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$821
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$457
Net cashflow
$-36/mo
Annual
$-436/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.15%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-436/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (3.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $401 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in FL, #608 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, schools F.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Williamsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZX84A34E0BNS86
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29