1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
883 sqft ·
Built 1903
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$844/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$212/mo
Annual
$2,546/yr
Cap rate
10.54%
Cash-on-cash
15.15%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($844 rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#604 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Sherrard CUSD 200 (rural): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #240 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Sherrard Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #392 of 2,056 statewide, top 21%, 237 students, 0% FRL); Sherrard Jr High School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #159 of 665 statewide, top 25%, 220 students, 0% FRL); Sherrard High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 451 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mercer County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZXHEPG5CZZX4R4
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29