2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
744 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Manufactured
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$525
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$-72/mo
Annual
$-865/yr
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.21%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-865/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (9.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#20 in NH, #2,314 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Gilford School District (rural): math 52% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 98 in NH (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Gilford Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #42 of 263 statewide, top 19%, 322 students, 13% FRL); Gilford Middle School (math 55% / reading 49%, grade C+, #18 of 96 statewide, top 19%, 305 students, 18% FRL); Gilford High School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #54 of 90 statewide, top 61%, 499 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 301 units permitted in Belknap County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Belknap County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $64k; list at $140k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 1.8% in Laconia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZXM6C1B8J6SJTW
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29