3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,635 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,382/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$194
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$-46/mo
Annual
$-554/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.10%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-554/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (4.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (23.2% below list).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#336 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Northwestern Elementary (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #297 of 860 statewide, top 38%, 341 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $124k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29