1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
400 sqft ·
Built 1954
· Condo
· Active
· 292 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,224/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$240
HOA
−$296
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-246/mo
Annual
$-2,952/yr
Cap rate
4.62%
Cash-on-cash
-5.97%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-246 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $86k (33.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 292 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (33.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 24% of rent; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 308 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
14 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 292 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZYWKV376PMSHW5
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29