3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,848 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Townhouse
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,496/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$42/mo
Annual
$500/yr
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.08%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $165k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($500/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (9.3% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#95 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
El Reno (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #232 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Learning Ctr (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #667 of 845 statewide, top 82%, 384 students, 0% FRL); Etta Dale Jhs (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #277 of 345 statewide, top 83%, 444 students, 0% FRL); El Reno Hs (math 16% / reading 19%, grade F, #307 of 447 statewide, top 69%, 980 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in El Reno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn and outdated appearance
Moderate: Bathroom cabinets
— Worn and outdated appearance
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZYYENW6NKP65N7
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29