3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Other
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,084/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$-49/mo
Annual
$-587/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.52%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-587/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (6.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (13.2% below list).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $249 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#572 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Risco R-II (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #308 of 535 in MO (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Risco Elem. (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 85 students, 53% FRL); Risco High (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #356 of 521 statewide, top 71%, 86 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in New Madrid County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
New Madrid County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29