4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,774 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,995/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$400
HOA
−$10
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$419
Net cashflow
$-92/mo
Annual
$-1,105/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.64%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$67,169
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $240k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-92 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (5.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $199k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#109 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in Moores Mill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZZYDYN0FMR0G4K
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29