3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 270 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,147/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$1,540
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$661
Net cashflow
$497/mo
Annual
$5,968/yr
Cap rate
15.47%
Cash-on-cash
32.79%
DSCR
2.46
1% rule
4.84%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in CO, #4,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D, cost of living F.
Steamboat Springs School District No. RE-2 (town): math 49% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #4 of 86 in CO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Sleeping Giant School (400 students, 17% FRL); Steamboat Springs High School (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B-, #32 of 381 statewide, top 9%, 842 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 555 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 597 units permitted in Routt County in 2024 (418 in 5+ unit buildings).
Routt County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $65k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 0.1% in Steamboat Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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