2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,215 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,035/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$33
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$680/mo
Annual
$8,157/yr
Cap rate
47.08%
Cash-on-cash
145.66%
DSCR
7.48
1% rule
5.18%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $738 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $600 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Conemaugh Valley SD (rural): math 30% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #313 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $12k; list at $20k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-00MZXF2THJNE29
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29