1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,399/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$206
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$-121/mo
Annual
$-1,453/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.97%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-121 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (20.0% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#245 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Cumberland County (rural): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #59 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Frank P. Brown Elementary (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #365 of 952 statewide, top 39%, 615 students, 0% FRL); Cumberland County High School (math 28% / reading 41%, grade F, #41 of 332 statewide, top 15%, 985 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 447 active listings in the ZIP; 114 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cumberland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-00S3YN30N0FCJP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29