3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,647 sqft ·
Built 1926
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,566/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,506
Tax + insurance
−$1,251
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$749
Net cashflow
$-3,941/mo
Annual
$-47,286/yr
Cap rate
1.79%
Cash-on-cash
-16.08%
DSCR
0.28
1% rule
0.34%
Cash to close
$294,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-47k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $354k (66.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $357k (66.0% below list).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($956k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $354k (66.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Shadowlawn Elementary School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 129 students, 84% FRL); Jose De Diego Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 868 students, 68% FRL); Miami Edison Senior High School (math 19% / reading 15%, grade F, #597 of 667 statewide, top 90%, 623 students, 72% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
12 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 56657% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $1.05M implies a 1005% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,566/mo this rent would consume 104% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2523% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 66% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-0319VN8APZ7GRZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29