2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$585
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$283/mo
Annual
$3,397/yr
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.20%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,286 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Newtown School District (suburban): math 59% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #24 of 153 in CT (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Head O'Meadow Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #44 of 553 statewide, top 10%, 327 students, 11% FRL); Newtown Middle School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade B, #52 of 175 statewide, top 29%, 607 students, 14% FRL); Newtown High School (math 60% / reading 79%, grade B, #18 of 194 statewide, top 10%, 1,325 students, 13% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 1.9% in Newtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-03GAZZ1HSKQ6KJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29