2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,111 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,366/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$645
Tax + insurance
−$274
HOA
−$457
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$-296/mo
Annual
$-3,555/yr
Cap rate
3.40%
Cash-on-cash
-10.32%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$34,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-296 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $71k (42.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $71k (42.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in TX, #994 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-.
College Station ISD (urban): math 58% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #113 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: College Hills El (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,234 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 596 students, 75% FRL); Oakwood Int (math 55% / reading 47%, grade C, #326 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 719 students, 48% FRL); A & M Cons H S (math 65% / reading 66%, grade B, #193 of 1,632 statewide, top 12%, 2,139 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 24% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At $1,366/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 8224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-044H814JD0FFXE
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29