8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
5,000 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 304 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,646/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,457
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$766
Net cashflow
$1,203/mo
Annual
$14,436/yr
Cap rate
11.49%
Cash-on-cash
18.55%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$77,812
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $278k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $301/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $278k).
It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $245k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#187 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
St. Landry Parish (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #54 of 98 in LA (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Opelousas Middle School (math 5% / reading 16%, grade F, #197 of 218 statewide, top 91%, 246 students, 92% FRL); Opelousas Senior High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #224 of 265 statewide, top 86%, 840 students, 77% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 12% at this address vs 26% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Landry Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 309 active listings in the ZIP; 142 units permitted in St. Landry Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Landry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $278k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.0% in Opelousas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-04ZEVPF0DZD7N3
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29