1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
650 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 330 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,949/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$577
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$409
Net cashflow
$596/mo
Annual
$7,149/yr
Cap rate
24.40%
Cash-on-cash
64.66%
DSCR
3.88
1% rule
2.78%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 330 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#588 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
East Ramapo Central School District (Spring Valley) (suburban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #576 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 259 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 2.2% in Spring Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 330 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint job
— The walls in the living room and kitchen have some discoloration and scuff marks.
Moderate: Bathroom renovation
— The bathroom has a dated design with a small vanity and a patterned shower curtain.
Moderate: Kitchen renovation
— The yellow walls and dated decor suggest a need for a fresh paint job and possibly new appliances.
Major: Landscaping
— The landscaping is minimal, and the curb appeal is low due to the lack of landscaping and the dated interior design.
CashFlowRE · CFR-05N67J7VBKCKD7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29