34 Columbus Ave Unit B20 · Spring Valley, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 1-bedroom 1-bathroom unit located on Columbus Avenue in the heart of Spring Valley. Near Memorial Park, this affordable unit offers convenience and comfort for commuters and those alike. This one-bedroom, one-bathroom gem is within proximity to shops, transit, and dining. Featuring on-site laundry, assigned parking, and on-site maintenance.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1969
- Listed 401 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $793 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.6% vs local median 2.1% in Spring Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#588 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- East Ramapo Central School District (Spring Valley) (suburban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #576 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fleetwood Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,011 of 2,108 statewide, top 96%, 626 students, 70% FRL); Chestnut Ridge Middle School (math 9% / reading 30%, grade F, #685 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 646 students, 83% FRL); Spring Valley High School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade B+, #677 of 1,100 statewide, top 63%, 1,434 students, 82% FRL).
- Market conditions: 363 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 49d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 402 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 402 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 97.63%
- DSCR
- 5.34
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,608
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -35.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258 N Main St Unit C-19 | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 | 650 (0%) | 5mo | $66,000 | $102 | 74 |
| 256 N.main St Unit D10 | 0.51mi | 1/1.0 | 700 (+8%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $64 | 61 |
| 250 N Main St Unit F33 | 0.51mi | 1/1.0 | 750 (+15%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $40 | 50 |
| 252 N Main St Unit G24 | 0.56mi | 1/1.0 | 750 (+15%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $47 | 47 |
| 108 Union Rd Unit 2R | 0.75mi | 1/1.0 | 700 (+8%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $93 | 44 |
| 30 S Cole Ave Unit 3L | 0.77mi | 1/1.0 | 730 (+12%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $185 | 35 |
| 108 Union Rd Unit 1K | 0.75mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 700 (+8%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $157 | 28 |
| N Pascack Rd | 0.59mi | 1/2.0 | 752 (+16%) | 22mo | $295,000 | $392 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $41,880
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 65.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.67×
- Total profit
- $102,742
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.6 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $89,750 ($116/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 41 d
- This list price
- 12% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +13.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 10977
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,067 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $793
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $831 | -5% $812 | +0% $793 | +5% $774 | +10% $755 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $629 | -5% $711 | +0% $793 | +5% $874 | +10% $956 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $820 | -0.5pp $807 | base $793 | +0.5pp $778 | +1.0pp $764 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Summit Ave Spring Valley, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 62d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 42 Monsey Blvd Ramapo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,950 | $3.15 | 79d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 242 Kearsing Pkwy Unit F Monsey, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $2,150 | $3.47 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 100 Avalon Gardens Dr Nanuet, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1154 | $2,719 | $2.36 | 0d | 20 | 1.29mi |
| 152 Kearsing Pkwy Unit H Monsey, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $2,200 | $3.55 | 49d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $55,000 Active 402 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $55,000 Active 401 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $55,000 Active 400 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $55,000 Active 399 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $55,000 Active 398 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $55,000 Active 397 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $55,000 Active 396 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $55,000 Active 395 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $55,000 Active 394 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $55,000 Active 393 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $55,000 Active 392 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $55,000 Active 391 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $55,000 Active 390 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $55,000 Active 389 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $55,000 Active 383 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $55,000 Active 382 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $55,000 Active 380 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $55,000 Active 378 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $55,000 Active 376 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $55,000 Active 375 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $55,000 Active 374 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $55,000 Active 373 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $55,000 Active 372 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $55,000 Active 371 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $55,000 Active 370 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $55,000 Active 369 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $55,000 Active 368 DOM
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2026-08-20pricedays on market $55,000 Active 367 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $70,000 Active 366 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $70,000 Active 365 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $70,000 Active 364 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $70,000 Active 363 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $70,000 Active 362 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $70,000 Active 360 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $70,000 Active 359 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $70,000 Active 358 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $70,000 Active 357 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $70,000 Active 356 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $70,000 Active 355 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $70,000 Active 354 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $70,000 Active 353 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $70,000 Active 352 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $70,000 Active 351 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $70,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $70,000 Active 348 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $70,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $70,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $70,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $70,000 Active 344 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $70,000 Active 343 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$5,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,984
- − Management
- −$1,984
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $9,531
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,287
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This 1-bedroom 1-bathroom unit is in fair condition with some cosmetic repairs and maintenance needed. Upgrading the interior design, painting, and landscaping can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint job — The walls in the living room and kitchen have some discoloration and scuff marks.
- Moderate Bathroom renovation — The bathroom has a dated design with a small vanity and a patterned shower curtain.
- Moderate Kitchen renovation — The yellow walls and dated decor suggest a need for a fresh paint job and possibly new appliances.
- Major Landscaping — The landscaping is minimal, and the curb appeal is low due to the lack of landscaping and the dated interior design.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint job — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathroom design can improve functionality and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Kitchen renovation — Renovating the kitchen can improve functionality and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Ramapo Central School District (Spring Valley)
- NCES district ID
- 3627810
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,547
- Composite
- 25.6/100
- National rank
- #7418
- State rank
- #576 of 590 in NY
Livability — Spring Valley
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #588
- US rank
- #10623
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring Valley, NY
- County
- Rockland · 339,642 people
- City population
- 71,465
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,465
- Household income
- $77,724
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 339,642 people
- By 2030
- 345,987 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 357,178 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 362,456 · +6.7%
- By 2075
- 367,281 · +8.1%
- By 2100
- 328,211 · -3.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Romanian 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 31% English-only · German/W. Germanic 32% Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockland
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -518.82%
- Current HPI
- 378.2133
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-11.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $75,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-24 Listed $85,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-14 Coming Soon $85,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…