3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,109/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$139
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-154/mo
Annual
$-1,853/yr
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.89%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (16.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (34.8% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $111k (34.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#99 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B, employment B; Watch: housing D, amenities F, commute F.
Sweetwater County School District #1 (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #31 of 41 in WY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Sweetwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sweetwater County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-06YC281135D0PF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29