3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,745/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$343
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$576
Net cashflow
$362/mo
Annual
$4,347/yr
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.56%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (1.6% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $274k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#317 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
South Kitsap School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #71 of 291 in WA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: South Colby Elementary (290 students, 32% FRL); South Kitsap High School (2,389 students, 40% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-07JZBF68ZGJP9H
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29