4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,984/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,179
Tax + insurance
−$294
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$417
Net cashflow
$94/mo
Annual
$1,130/yr
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.79%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$62,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (11.8% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#785 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Glades (town): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #63 of 73 in FL (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Moore Haven Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,080 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 375 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Glades average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 405 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Glades County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Glades County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.2% in Buckhead Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-08AJPY11D8PT8W
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29