905 Brickell Bay Dr #623

Miami, FL 33131

$295,000C+

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 580 sqft · Built 1968 · Condo · Active · 8 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,886/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,547
• Tax + insurance: −$1,109
• HOA: −$590
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$816
• Net cashflow: $-176/mo
• Annual: $-2,111/yr
• Cap rate: 8.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.16%
• DSCR: 1.32
• 1% rule: 1.32%
• Cash to close: $82,600

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $295k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-176 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (10.5% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $295k).
• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $264k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
• Zoned schools: Southside Preparatory Academy (math 54% / reading 61%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 929 students, 39% FRL); Shenandoah Middle School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #381 of 571 statewide, top 67%, 1,296 students, 72% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL).
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 1023 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $190k; list at $295k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($144k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?