3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
985 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,420/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$246
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$-199/mo
Annual
$-2,390/yr
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.16%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (17.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (30.7% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#11 in MI, #181 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-.
Wyandotte School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #262 of 540 in MI (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #814 of 1,397 statewide, top 61%, 479 students, 61% FRL); Woodrow Wilson School (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #337 of 493 statewide, top 69%, 889 students, 60% FRL); Roosevelt High School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #304 of 713 statewide, top 46%, 1,232 students, 54% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $149k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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