3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,371 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,958/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$439
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$411
Net cashflow
$536/mo
Annual
$6,432/yr
Cap rate
12.19%
Cash-on-cash
21.08%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.80%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#306 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Sweeny ISD (town): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #480 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sweeny El (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 864 students, 67% FRL); Sweeny J H (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 445 students, 57% FRL); Sweeny H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 589 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 185d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 4.0% in Sweeny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed subfloor in kitchen and bathrooms
— Structural damage requiring full replacement.
Major: Missing cabinets in kitchen
— Structural damage requiring full replacement.
Major: Worn fixtures in bathrooms
— Structural damage requiring full replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-093SAD8570FY94
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29