3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,570 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 146 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,512/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$254
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$442/mo
Annual
$5,300/yr
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.93%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#447 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Norwich City School District (town): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #498 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Stanford J Gibson Primary School (400 students, 52% FRL); Norwich Middle School (math 34% / reading 48%, grade F, #402 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 381 students, 59% FRL); Norwich High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 546 students, 48% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Norwich City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 151 units permitted in Chenango County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chenango County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $77k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint on siding
Major: exterior siding
— Signs of wear and tear
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29