1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
550 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Manufactured
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,256/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$1,195/mo
Annual
$14,337/yr
Cap rate
23.16%
Cash-on-cash
60.24%
DSCR
3.68
1% rule
2.65%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#378 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Lucia Mar Unified (town): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #433 of 1,400 in CA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Grover Heights Elementary (323 students, 62% FRL); Judkins Middle (458 students, 64% FRL); Arroyo Grande High (1,991 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 2.1% in Grover Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and worn
Moderate: bathroom vanity
— dated and worn
Minor: kitchen appliances
— slightly outdated
CashFlowRE · CFR-0A6JTBCF2Q1Y0S
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29