1477 W Grand Ave #46 · Grover Beach, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 80°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Pacifico Del Amo, an all-ages community conveniently located in the heart of Grover Beach, just minutes from the beach, restaurants, shopping, and everyday amenities. This well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home offers a functional layout with living room, kitchen, and a cozy built-in seating area for dining. The interior has a warm coastal feel and a practical floor plan designed to make the most of the space. Outside, the home features a small private outdoor area with additional storage space, along with a covered carport for convenient parking. Located near shops, dining, and quick access to Highway 1, this is an excellent opportunity for affordable Central Coast
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Private outdoor area
- Convenient parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Grover Beach (subdivision 330); Directions: Off W. Grand Ave next to AutoZone
- Financial info: Land lease $1,495 per month (park-provided); Rent includes trash
- HOA & community: Park land lease; Community features include curbs and urban setting
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Carport; Parking available in Pacifico Del Amo park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story manufactured home (model MF); Mobile home remains; Estimated living area
- Construction: Mobile width 10 ft, length 55 ft; Year built from public records
- Exterior features: Patio; Aluminum skirt; Lot is level/flat; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: One-level home; Side entry; Smoke detector
- Laundry & utility: No laundry on site
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 2.1% in Grover Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#378 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, cost of living F.
- Lucia Mar Unified (town): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #433 of 1,400 in CA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.24%
- DSCR
- 3.68
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,000
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -41.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $62,355
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 63.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $152,421
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93433
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,256 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $1,195
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,254 | -5% $1,224 | +0% $1,195 | +5% $1,165 | +10% $1,136 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,017 | -5% $1,106 | +0% $1,195 | +5% $1,284 | +10% $1,373 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,238 | -0.5pp $1,216 | base $1,195 | +0.5pp $1,173 | +1.0pp $1,150 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 538 N 16th St Apt A Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 450 Manhattan Ave Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,700 | $3.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 108 Erna Way Pismo Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,600 | $4.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1480 S 13th St Unit 1480B Oceano, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,650 | $3.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 230 S Alpine St Unit 04 Arroyo Grande, CA | — | 1.0 | 400 | $1,900 | $4.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-09$85,000 Active 749-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥80°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,071
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,166
- − Management
- −$2,166
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $13,806
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,313
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This well-maintained manufactured home offers a functional layout with good curb appeal and potential for modest cosmetic updates to enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom vanity — dated and worn
- Minor kitchen appliances — slightly outdated
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom vanity · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen appliances · slightly outdated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lucia Mar Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0623080
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,681
- Composite
- 45.19/100
- National rank
- #5782
- State rank
- #433 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Grover Beach
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #378
- US rank
- #12927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grover Beach, CA
- County
- San Luis Obispo County · 224,651 people
- City population
- 12,600
- Metro
- San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,600
- Household income
- $86,458
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 617.0
Population outlook (San Luis Obispo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 306,977 people
- By 2030
- 320,378 · +4.4%
- By 2040
- 343,933 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 366,853 · +19.5%
- By 2075
- 428,329 · +39.5%
- By 2100
- 460,687 · +50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Slovak 4% Russian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Luis Obispo
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 5.4pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+8.3 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -627.38%
- Current HPI
- 398.2644
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed $85,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…