2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
824 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,655/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,045
Tax + insurance
−$709
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,188
Net cashflow
$1,714/mo
Annual
$20,565/yr
Cap rate
11.57%
Cash-on-cash
18.83%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$109,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $390k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $378k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#307 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
Roosevelt Union Free School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #529 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ulysses Byas Elementary School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 444 students, 0% FRL); Roosevelt Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #685 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 455 students, 0% FRL); Roosevelt High School (math 65% / reading 78%, grade B+, #698 of 1,100 statewide, top 63%, 1,075 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 20% FRL vs 58% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $210k; list at $390k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.1% in Roosevelt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0BCYDJAKNQDD58
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29