5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,208 sqft ·
Built 1870
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,233/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$852
Tax + insurance
−$271
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$469
Net cashflow
$641/mo
Annual
$7,693/yr
Cap rate
11.03%
Cash-on-cash
16.91%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$45,500
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $162k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, amenities D, commute F.
Seneca Falls Central School District (town): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #392 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.6% in Seneca Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Outdated and in poor condition
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and in poor condition
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29