4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,652 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Townhouse
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,254/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,851
Tax + insurance
−$1,694
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,733
Net cashflow
$-24/mo
Annual
$-291/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.59%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$259,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $925k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-291/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $921k (0.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $825k (10.8% below list).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($842k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $825k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $49k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#78 in FL, #1,293 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Harbordale Elementary School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade A-, #399 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 487 students, 38% FRL); Sunrise Middle School (math 50% / reading 52%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,242 students, 64% FRL); Fort Lauderdale High School (math 38% / reading 67%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 2,228 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 469 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $259k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$78k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.2% in Fort Lauderdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,254/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 1662% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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