1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
619 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,420/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$360
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$508
Net cashflow
$118/mo
Annual
$1,419/yr
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.21%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $229k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#34 in MA, #1,642 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Newburyport (suburban): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #77 of 302 in MA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Francis T Bresnahan Elementary (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B, #120 of 938 statewide, top 14%, 575 students, 0% FRL); Newburyport High (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A, #33 of 343 statewide, top 11%, 820 students, 0% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 73% at this address vs 56% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newburyport average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $141k; list at $229k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 1.7% in Newburyport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0D46TZ2R44J81E
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29