3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,638 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Manufactured
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,095/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$122
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$440
Net cashflow
$1,009/mo
Annual
$12,107/yr
Cap rate
18.40%
Cash-on-cash
43.24%
DSCR
2.92
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#847 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
West Perry SD (rural): math 37% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #189 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Carroll El Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 331 students, 46% FRL); West Perry Ms (math 23% / reading 61%, grade D-, #221 of 512 statewide, top 45%, 496 students, 52% FRL); West Perry Shs (math 72% / reading 87%, grade A-, #19 of 437 statewide, top 4%, 686 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 5.5% in Bloomfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0DXXE492AT40F8
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29