3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,258 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,739/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$624/mo
Annual
$7,485/yr
Cap rate
12.58%
Cash-on-cash
22.46%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#299 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Carr Elementary (math 39% / reading 31%, grade F, #825 of 1,410 statewide, top 59%, 633 students, 100% FRL); W C Friday Middle School (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #222 of 475 statewide, top 49%, 605 students, 74% FRL); North Gaston High (math 49% / reading 42%, grade D-, #347 of 535 statewide, top 65%, 1,134 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 37% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.2% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0GC1HK397PG4HJ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29