4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$231
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$437/mo
Annual
$5,244/yr
Cap rate
20.02%
Cash-on-cash
49.04%
DSCR
3.18
1% rule
2.30%
Cash to close
$12,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $44k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $43k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $774 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#147 in OH, #2,275 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment D-.
Symmes Valley Local (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #442 of 656 in OH (top 67%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $44k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0HN1JA0NTA753P
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29