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20495 SR 141 🌊 Lakefront
B Composite 74.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$44,000

20495 SR 141 · Proctorville, OH 45669
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1989 0.91 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Lots of bang for you buck here folks!! Look in on this mobile home converted to real estate with large stick built addition and huge covered front porch. Located in the heart of Wayne National Forest this would make an excellent deer camp, short-term rental investment, or just the escape you have been looking for. If a little elbow grease is in your tool belt, then you need to check this one into your shortlist!! Note: this is court ordered sale and being sold as is. Need at least 24 hours' notice for showings.

Key facts

  • 0.91 acre lot
  • Built 1989
  • Listed 51 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Manufactured home (Manufactured/Affixed); Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Garden; Barn(s) on the property

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Seven rooms total

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $44k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#147 in OH, #2,275 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Symmes Valley Local (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #442 of 656 in OH (top 67%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $774 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $44k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $42,680 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
20.02%
Cash-on-cash
49.04%
DSCR
3.18
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.76% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.2%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$23,084
Equity at exit
$9,038
10-year hold
IRR
46.1%
Equity multiple
5.73×
Total profit
$58,251
Equity at exit
$8,199

Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45669

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,010 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$231
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $548/yr
Insurance
$18
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$437

Break-even live

Break-even rent $457
Max offer price $44,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $462 -5% $449 +0% $437 +5% $425 +10% $412
Rent -10% $357 -5% $397 +0% $437 +5% $477 +10% $517
Rate -1.0pp $459 -0.5pp $448 base $437 +0.5pp $426 +1.0pp $414

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,000
Closing costs
$1,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $44,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $44,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $44,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $44,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,000 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    listed $46,000 Active 517-char remark
  17. 1995-03-13
    soldstatus $25,000
  18. 1994-03-23
    soldstatus $24,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$548 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$617 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$69/yr (+$6/mo · 12.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,125
− Mortgage interest
−$2,465
− Property taxes
−$548
− Insurance
−$1,017
− Repairs & maintenance
−$970
− Management
−$970
− Depreciation
−$1,280
Taxable income
$4,875
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,170
After-tax cash flow
$4,074/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Symmes Valley Local
NCES district ID
3904796
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,780
Composite
42.29/100
National rank
#3265
State rank
#442 of 656 in OH

Livability — Proctorville

Score
79/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#2275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lawrence · 57,020 people
Metro
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
Population (ZIP)
10,085
Household income
$65,824
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
9.1

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,915 people
By 2030
55,650 · -3.9%
By 2040
50,523 · -12.8%
By 2050
45,103 · -22.1%
By 2075
32,441 · -44.0%
By 2100
21,754 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Asian 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Russian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Korean 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.76%
Current HPI
212.88
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $44,000 ACBOR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $46,000 ACBOR
  • 1995-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1994-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $548 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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