3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,272 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$959/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$597/mo
Annual
$7,168/yr
Cap rate
42.13%
Cash-on-cash
128.00%
DSCR
6.70
1% rule
4.79%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#239 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Galena (town): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #118 of 169 in KS (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 17 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cherokee County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $15k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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