4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,439 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$194
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$-86/mo
Annual
$-1,035/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.11%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (8.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (25.8% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#122 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Grant Parish (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #43 of 98 in LA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Colfax Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #633 of 646 statewide, top 99%, 126 students, 88% FRL); Grant Junior High School (math 29% / reading 34%, grade F, #108 of 218 statewide, top 50%, 504 students, 73% FRL); Grant High School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #45 of 265 statewide, top 20%, 658 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 59% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Grant Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grant County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $49k; list at $175k implies a 257% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0J12032MQG9BRR
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29