2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,539/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$868
HOA
−$925
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$533
Net cashflow
$-1,177/mo
Annual
$-14,125/yr
Cap rate
2.89%
Cash-on-cash
-12.14%
DSCR
0.46
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (64.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (4.2% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (64.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Skyline Elementary School (215 students, 13% FRL); Da Vinci Middle School (434 students, 34% FRL); Lincoln High School (1,525 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools average 19% FRL vs 37% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 2.3% in Portland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 64% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?