13358 NW Marina Way Way Unit W3 · Portland, OR
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Cash flow +1.3/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity for this nicely updated 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom floating home/boat house combo! Easy maintenance living on the water with stellar access to fishing and recreation on the Columbia River, Willamette River, and the Multnomah Channel. Covered boat well will accommodate a large 42 foot boat. It's even an easy walk to the slip from the gated parking area. Can't beat the price so don't miss this one!!!
Key facts
- Gated parking area
- Boat house
- Floating home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $50k (81.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $50k (81.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.5% vs local median 2.3% in Portland — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Skyline Elementary School (215 students, 13% FRL); Da Vinci Middle School (434 students, 34% FRL); Lincoln High School (1,525 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools average 19% FRL vs 37% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 43% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 81% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.13%
- DSCR
- 0.24
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $402,192
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -34.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14581 NW Larson Rd #7 | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,367 (+5%) | 10mo | $670,000 | $490 | 66 |
| 14940 NW Mill Rd Unit G | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 9mo | $96,400 | $80 | 50 |
| 13398 NW Marina Way | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,113 (-14%) | 19mo | $395,000 | $355 | 47 |
| 14908 NW Mill Rd Unit M-2 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,408 (+8%) | 19mo | $450,000 | $320 | 40 |
| 17587 NW Sauvie Island Rd #42 | 1.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,530 (+18%) | 2mo | $415,000 | $271 | 38 |
| 14575 NW Larson Rd Slip 10 | 0.48mi | 2/3.0 | 1,482 (+14%) | 26mo | $400,000 | $270 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -68.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.84×
- Total profit
- $-136,715
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -2.20×
- Total profit
- $-237,448
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Portland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+39
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Median asking
- $437,500 ($334/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 48 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -7.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 97231
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,117 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$900
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $-1,486
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,303 | -5% $-1,394 | +0% $-1,486 | +5% $-1,577 | +10% $-1,669 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,653 | -5% $-1,569 | +0% $-1,486 | +5% $-1,402 | +10% $-1,318 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,352 | -0.5pp $-1,418 | base $-1,486 | +0.5pp $-1,554 | +1.0pp $-1,624 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Slip information: slip #33 located at foot of ramp, outside deep water slip (slip not included; slip rent $900 monthly)Floating home distance from ramp: 15 ftSlip length 70 ft, width 31 ft (slip-only option available)Moorage managed by Bridger Management
- HOA & community
- Monthly moorage/association fee: $900
Exterior
- Parking
- Off-street parking
- Security
- Limited accessSecurity gate
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity (fuel and hot water)Cable internet availableMarina provides sewer, water, electricity, trash collection and grounds maintenance access
- Home design
- Residential floating home (detached)River viewMain and upper levels (two levels implied)Built in 1991
- Construction
- Metal roofFoundation listed as otherFloatation uses log and stringer and steel grid
- Exterior features
- Riverfront location on Multnomah ChannelRV/boat storage availableLap and wood sidingPaved road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRange hoodFree-standing rangeFree-standing refrigeratorEngineered hardwood in kitchenGranite counters
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on upper level with balcony, ensuite bath and ceiling fanSecond bedroom on upper level with ceiling fan
- Flooring
- Engineered hardwoodLaminateWall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)Primary bath includes bathtub with shower
- Heating & cooling
- Mini split heating and coolingWall heater
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansGranite surfacesLaminate flooringWall-to-wall carpetWasher and dryer includedDouble-pane windows with vinyl framesWalk-in shower (accessibility feature)Beamed ceilings
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry area with washer/dryer
HOA detail $900/mo · $10,800/yr
- Likely covers
- watersecurity
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $265,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $265,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $265,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $265,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $265,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $265,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $265,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $265,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $265,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $265,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $265,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $265,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $265,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $265,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $265,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $265,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $265,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $265,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $265,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $265,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $265,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $265,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $265,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $265,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $265,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $265,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $265,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $265,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $265,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $265,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $265,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $265,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $265,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $265,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $265,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $265,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $265,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $265,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $265,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 42 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,975
- − Insurance
- −$6,444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,032
- − Management
- −$2,032
- − HOA
- −$10,800
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$22,435
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,384
- After-tax cash flow
- $-12,443/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This floating home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Fresh paint and updated fixtures would significantly enhance its appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Possibly outdated design
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Interior paint — Faded appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint improves interior appearance ↑
- Resale Update kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Update bathroom fixtures — Fresh fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portland SD 1J
- NCES district ID
- 4110040
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,851
- Composite
- 47.1/100
- National rank
- #5112
- State rank
- #23 of 183 in OR
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #3256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Multnomah · 930,825 people
- City population
- 774,334
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,304
- Household income
- $122,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.95%
- Current HPI
- 257.6546
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+6.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $265,000 RMLS
- 2021-11-23 Sold (MLS) $235,000 RMLS
- 2021-10-10 Pending — RMLS
- 2021-08-27 Price Changed $247,000 RMLS
- 2021-08-04 Listed $250,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…