3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,560 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,169/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$103/mo
Annual
$1,242/yr
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.41%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (10.1% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in IN, #869 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D-.
Richmond Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Charles Elementary School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #197 of 994 statewide, top 22%, 331 students, 59% FRL); Richmond High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 1,332 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richmond Community Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0NX44AAEMWSG65
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29