3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Manufactured
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$181
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$771/mo
Annual
$9,247/yr
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.54%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#995 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $120k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 3.1% in South Coatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0PRWRA8R5ETYP3
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29