7 Denbigh Ln · South Coatesville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept single wide mobile home in Hidden Valley Estates, New floor coverings, Bedroom and Living Room Ceiling Fan/Lights, 8'x14' Deck and Storage Barn. Current park rent $485/month plus water, sewer and trash. Priced to sell -Don't Miss it!
Key facts
- 8x14 deck
- New floor coverings
- New full baths
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 980 (estimated); Total below-grade area 0
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; No lease considered
- HOA & community: Located in Hidden Valley Estates (park); Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Community water; Community septic tank; Electric available (circuit breakers); Cable TV available; Phone available
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Entry and living on main level; Estimated 2026 major renovation/remodel date; Estimated year built source
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Insulated windows
- Exterior features: Deck(s); Shed; Rented lot (ground rent exists, paid annually); Private blacktop road access; Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Combination kitchen and living area; Dining area; Upgraded countertops; Walk-in shower; Insulated doors
- Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 3.1% in South Coatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#995 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $120k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.54%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,524
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- 3.79%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $33,398
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $108,238
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19320
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,572/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $771
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $838 | -5% $805 | +0% $771 | +5% $737 | +10% $703 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $613 | -5% $692 | +0% $771 | +5% $850 | +10% $929 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $831 | -0.5pp $801 | base $771 | +0.5pp $740 | +1.0pp $708 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322 Charles St Coatesville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,700 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$119,900 Active 388-char remark
-
2022-08-31soldstatus $60,000 Closed 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Well kept single wide mobile home in Hidden Valley Estates, New floor coverings, Bedroom and Living Room Ceiling Fan/Lights, 8'x14' Deck and Storage Barn. Current park rent $485/month plus water, sewer and trash. Priced to sell -Don't Miss it!
-
2022-08-25status Pending 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Well kept single wide mobile home in Hidden Valley Estates, New floor coverings, Bedroom and Living Room Ceiling Fan/Lights, 8'x14' Deck and Storage Barn. Current park rent $485/month plus water, sewer and trash. Priced to sell -Don't Miss it!
-
2022-07-10status Active 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Well kept single wide mobile home in Hidden Valley Estates, New floor coverings, Bedroom and Living Room Ceiling Fan/Lights, 8'x14' Deck and Storage Barn. Current park rent $485/month plus water, sewer and trash. Priced to sell -Don't Miss it!
-
2022-06-28status Pending 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Well kept single wide mobile home in Hidden Valley Estates, New floor coverings, Bedroom and Living Room Ceiling Fan/Lights, 8'x14' Deck and Storage Barn. Current park rent $485/month plus water, sewer and trash. Priced to sell -Don't Miss it!
-
2022-06-14$69,900 Active 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Well kept single wide mobile home in Hidden Valley Estates, New floor coverings, Bedroom and Living Room Ceiling Fan/Lights, 8'x14' Deck and Storage Barn. Current park rent $485/month plus water, sewer and trash. Priced to sell -Don't Miss it!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,572 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,733 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$161/yr (+$13/mo · 10.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,572
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $7,788
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,869
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,378/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coatesville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206240
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,753
- Composite
- 23.19/100
- National rank
- #7944
- State rank
- #457 of 539 in PA
Livability — South Coatesville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #995
- US rank
- #10974
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,941
- Household income
- $90,601
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.38%
- Current HPI
- 274.045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+71.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-25 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-28 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-14 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,572 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…