3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,274 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 298 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$990/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$31
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$594/mo
Annual
$7,129/yr
Cap rate
30.14%
Cash-on-cash
85.15%
DSCR
4.79
1% rule
3.31%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#265 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Mercer County Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #28 of 55 in WV (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mercer County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 30.1% vs local median 5.2% in Bluefield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0PZD6NBV8D5ZPV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29