2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1994
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 319 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$887/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$186
Net cashflow
$-54/mo
Annual
$-649/yr
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.85%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-649/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (7.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (29.0% below list).
It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Les Cheneaux Community Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #186 of 760 in MI (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Mackinac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mackinac County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $14k; list at $125k implies a 793% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0QNDQF4ZKRVE1G
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29