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3300 N 3 Mile Rd
D Composite 43.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0

$125,000

3300 N 3 Mile Rd · Clark, MI 49745
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 319 Days on market
Built 1994 1.22 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this cozy 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath home nestled on a little over 1 acre of beautifully wooded land. Located just minutes from Bear on the Mountain golf course and casino, this property offers convenience. Perfect for nature lovers or a weekend getaway!

Key facts

  • Minutes from casino
  • Wooded land
  • 1.22 acre lot

Tags

WOODED LANDMINUTES FROM GOLF COURSEMINUTES FROM CASINO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-649/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (7.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (29.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Les Cheneaux Community Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #186 of 760 in MI (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Mackinac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
  • Mackinac County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $125k implies a 793% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $88,707 (29.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.85%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$36,544
Equity at exit
$82,785
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
4.12×
Total profit
$109,165
Equity at exit
$153,896

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49745

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$887 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $567/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$-54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $956
Max offer price $115,446
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17 -5% $-19 +0% $-54 +5% $-89 +10% $-125
Rent -10% $-124 -5% $-89 +0% $-54 +5% $-19 +10% $16
Rate -1.0pp $9 -0.5pp $-22 base $-54 +0.5pp $-86 +1.0pp $-119

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 319 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 318 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 316 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 315 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 314 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 313 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 311 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 310 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 307 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 306 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 305 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 303 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 301 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 300 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 299 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 298 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 297 DOM
  18. 2025-09-19
    price $125,000 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Discover this cozy 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath home nestled on a little over 1 acre of beautifully wooded land. Located just minutes from Bear on the Mountain golf course and casino, this property offers convenience. Perfect for nature lovers or a weekend getaway!

  19. 2025-08-06
    listed $150,000 Active 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    Discover this cozy 2 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath home nestled on a little over 1 acre of beautifully wooded land. Located just minutes from Bear on the Mountain golf course and casino, this property offers convenience. Perfect for nature lovers or a weekend getaway!

  20. 2007-08-21
    soldstatus $14,000
  21. 1989-12-07
    soldstatus $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$567 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,246 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$679/yr (+$57/mo · 119.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,645
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$567
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$852
− Management
−$852
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,889
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$693
After-tax cash flow
$44/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Les Cheneaux Community Schools
NCES district ID
2621420
Math proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$43,042
Composite
44.12/100
National rank
#6228
State rank
#186 of 760 in MI

Livability — Clark

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
819

Population outlook (Mackinac County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,449 people
By 2030
10,075 · -3.6%
By 2040
9,220 · -11.8%
By 2050
8,595 · -17.7%
By 2075
7,996 · -23.5%
By 2100
7,434 · -28.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Native American 31% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% German 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mackinac

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.0% · R 61.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.8pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+23.8 2016: R+27.2 2012: R+12.2 2008: R+3.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.53%
Current HPI
206.3107
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+792.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $125,000 EUPBR
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $150,000 EUPBR
  • 2007-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
  • 1989-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $567 · +315.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…