2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
852 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,789/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,248
Tax + insurance
−$289
HOA
−$689
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$796
Net cashflow
$-232/mo
Annual
$-2,788/yr
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.32%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$120,036
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $429k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-232 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $388k (9.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $379k (11.6% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($416k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $379k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#26 in CA, #984 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Tamalpais Union High (suburban): math 62% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #42 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 149 units permitted in Marin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marin County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $63k; list at $429k implies a 583% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 1.9% in Corte Madera — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0QWECM05FCY6JS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29