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77 Parkview Cir
D+ Composite 48.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$428,700

77 Parkview Cir · Corte Madera, CA 94925
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 852 sqft · Condo public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1988 $689/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a below market rate property - must be owner occupied, and resale restrictions apply. Maximum annual income is $178,300 for 2 people/$200,500 for 3/ $222,850 for 4. Buyer can not have owned a home in the last 3 years. Applications must be received by 5/14/2026 and a lottery will be drawn. 2-person minimum household. Tucked within the desirable Meadowcreek community, this beautifully refreshed upper-level residence offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and Marin lifestyle living. Surrounded by scenic walking paths, open greenbelt areas, and nearby waterways, the home enjoys a peaceful setting while remaining just minutes from Highway 101, shopping, and dining. Recently up

Key facts

  • Nearby waterways
  • Scenic walking paths
  • New water heater

Tags

SCENIC WALKING PATHSOPEN GREENBELT AREASNEARBY WATERWAYSUPDATED KITCHEN CABINET DOORSSLEEK QUARTZ COUNTERTOPSNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Meadowcreek Station association; Monthly HOA fee of $689; HOA covers structure insurance, exterior maintenance, roof and management; Community has a park

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1 car); Total parking for 1 vehicle
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Condominium; Residential property; Two-story building; Main entry level contains bedroom(s), full bath(s), kitchen and living room
  • Construction: No ADU/second unit
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Front landscaping

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Main level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub/shower combination
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Quartz countertops in kitchen; Covered deck off living room; Dining and living room combined; No basement; Street-level entrance on lower level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer stacked included; Laundry located in kitchen; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $429k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-232 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $388k (9.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $379k (11.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $379k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 1.9% in Corte Madera — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#26 in CA, #984 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Tamalpais Union High (suburban): math 62% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #42 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 149 units permitted in Marin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marin County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($416k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $429k implies a 583% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $378,929 (11.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.32%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$136,327
Equity at exit
$298,360
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
4.40×
Total profit
$407,647
Equity at exit
$567,914

Cash invested: $120,036 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94925

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,789 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,248
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,321/yr
Insurance
$179
HOA
$689
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$796
Net cashflow
$-232

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,083
Max offer price $387,658
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$107,175
Closing costs
$12,861
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5491 Paradise Dr Corte Madera, CA 2.0 2.0 800 $3,800 $4.75 2d 1 0.33mi
56 N Knoll Rd Mill Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $3,250 $4.06 2d 1 0.76mi
1030 Redwood Hwy Unit 9 Mill Valley, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,850 $4.75 10d 1 0.91mi
19 Knoll Ln Unit A Mill Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 722 $2,999 $4.15 3d 1 0.95mi
16 S Knoll Rd Unit 127 Mill Valley, CA 1.0 1.0 900 $2,550 $2.83 13d 1 0.98mi
16 S Knoll Rd Unit 124 Mill Valley, CA 1.0 1.0 900 $2,550 $2.83 19d 1 0.98mi
16 S Knoll Rd Unit 102 Mill Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $3,200 $2.91 13d 1 0.99mi
16 S Knoll Rd Unit 102 Mill Valley, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $3,200 $2.91 2d 1 0.99mi
19 Pixley Ave Corte Madera, CA 2.0 1.0 870 $3,350 $3.85 2d 1 1.26mi
21 Circle Dr Belvedere Tiburon, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $3,000 $3.33 2d 1 1.29mi
573 Seaver Dr Mill Valley, CA 1.0 1.0 696 $3,295 $4.73 2d 1 1.30mi
45 Tamal Vista Blvd Corte Madera, CA 2.0 1.0 890 $2,950 $3.31 2d 1 1.32mi
45 Tamal Vista Blvd Corte Madera, CA 2.0 1.0 890 $2,950 $3.31 19d 1 1.32mi
32 Circle Dr Unit A Belvedere Tiburon, CA 2.0 2.0 1025 $3,900 $3.80 2d 1 1.36mi
32 Circle Dr Unit B Belvedere Tiburon, CA 2.0 2.0 1025 $3,800 $3.71 17d 1 1.36mi
58 Barbaree Way Tiburon, CA 2.0 2.0 1020 $6,500 $6.37 2d 1 1.37mi
50 Barbaree Way Belvedere Tiburon, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 985 $6,727 $6.83 2d 23 1.39mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$689 · $8,268/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $428,700 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $428,700 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $428,700 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $428,700 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $428,700 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $428,700 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $428,700 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $428,700 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $428,700 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $428,700 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $428,700 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $428,700 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $428,700 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $428,700 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-04-20
    listed $428,700 Active
  16. 1988-12-30
    soldstatus $62,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,321 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,258 · $272/mo
Expected delta
+$1,937/yr (+$161/mo · 146.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥83°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,471
− Mortgage interest
−$24,014
− Property taxes
−$1,321
− Insurance
−$2,144
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,638
− Management
−$3,638
− HOA
−$8,268
− Depreciation
−$12,471
Taxable loss
−$10,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,405
After-tax cash flow
$-383/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tamalpais Union High
NCES district ID
0638790
Math proficiency
62% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$106,037
Composite
64.66/100
National rank
#527
State rank
#42 of 517 in CA

Livability — Corte Madera

Score
83/100
State rank
#26
US rank
#984

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corte Madera, CA
County
Marin County · 243,328 people
City population
10,077
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
10,077
Household income
$232,763
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
169.0

Population outlook (Marin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
276,379 people
By 2030
282,942 · +2.4%
By 2040
292,937 · +6.0%
By 2050
300,449 · +8.7%
By 2075
316,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
303,948 · +10.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marin

2024 margin
Solid D (+63.9) · D 80.6% · R 16.7% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.2pp toward D · 2008: 57.7pp · 2024: 63.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+63.9 2020: D+66.5 2016: D+62.9 2012: D+50.5 2008: D+57.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.05%
Current HPI
298.9243
Rent YoY
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+582.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $428,700 BAREIS
  • 1988-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $62,800 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,321 · -67.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…