3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,310 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,025/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,415
Tax + insurance
−$317
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$-133/mo
Annual
$-1,601/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.12%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$75,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (8.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (25.0% below list).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#98 in WA, #1,912 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
West Valley School District (Yakima) (urban): math 58% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #47 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cottonwood Elementary School (397 students, 36% FRL); West Valley Mid-Level Campus (1,194 students, 55% FRL); West Valley High School (1,527 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $225k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.3% in Yakima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0R5WTA7GQRBY2Z
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29