5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,444 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,481/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$622
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$521
Net cashflow
$185/mo
Annual
$2,217/yr
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.60%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#295 in NY, #4,783 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $220k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 1.8% in Minoa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0R833W2Q4MS91N
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29