101 Crysler Dr · Minoa, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome Home! This home located on a dead end street offers recent updates, privacy and a large lot! The 1st floor bedroom and full bath offer ranch style living in this cape style home. The 1st floor also offers a spacious kitchen area with an open dining area. The dining area opens to the deck leading to the large back yard. You will also find a living room and office on this level. The 2nd floor has 3 large bedrooms and bonus area which would be perfect for a gaming area, exercise area or whatever you desire. The full basement has an additional full bath in case you would like to expand.
Key facts
- Own pond
- Workshop space
- Fruiting pear
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 1.8% in Minoa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#295 in NY, #4,783 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $220k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.60%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,492
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Miller Dr | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,485 (+3%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $143 | 67 |
| 154 Kendall Drive West | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,365 (-6%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $139 | 57 |
| 7212 Manlius Center Rd | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,513 (+5%) | 22mo | $230,000 | $152 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-23,673
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-4,674
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13057
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,481 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$530 /mo · $6,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-23price $219,900
-
2026-04-17price $229,900
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-04-08historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-03$239,900 Active
-
2019-12-26historical
-
2019-06-26$165,000 Active
-
2013-08-01historical 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Welcome Home! This home located on a dead end street offers recent updates, privacy and a large lot! The 1st floor bedroom and full bath offer ranch style living in this cape style home. The 1st floor also offers a spacious kitchen area with an open dining area. The dining area opens to the deck leading to the large back yard. You will also find a living room and office on this level. The 2nd floor has 3 large bedrooms and bonus area which would be perfect for a gaming area, exercise area or whatever you desire. The full basement has an additional full bath in case you would like to expand.
-
2013-07-29soldstatus $110,220 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Welcome Home! This home located on a dead end street offers recent updates, privacy and a large lot! The 1st floor bedroom and full bath offer ranch style living in this cape style home. The 1st floor also offers a spacious kitchen area with an open dining area. The dining area opens to the deck leading to the large back yard. You will also find a living room and office on this level. The 2nd floor has 3 large bedrooms and bonus area which would be perfect for a gaming area, exercise area or whatever you desire. The full basement has an additional full bath in case you would like to expand.
-
2013-07-26soldstatus $110,500
-
2013-04-07$114,900 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Welcome Home! This home located on a dead end street offers recent updates, privacy and a large lot! The 1st floor bedroom and full bath offer ranch style living in this cape style home. The 1st floor also offers a spacious kitchen area with an open dining area. The dining area opens to the deck leading to the large back yard. You will also find a living room and office on this level. The 2nd floor has 3 large bedrooms and bonus area which would be perfect for a gaming area, exercise area or whatever you desire. The full basement has an additional full bath in case you would like to expand.
-
2011-04-19historical
-
2011-04-19soldstatus $92,320
-
2011-04-18soldstatus $92,220
-
2011-02-20$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,366 · $530/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,366 · $530/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$6,366
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,382
- − Management
- −$2,382
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$1,171
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$281
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,498/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609990
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,801
- Composite
- 42.9/100
- National rank
- #3122
- State rank
- #379 of 590 in NY
Livability — Minoa
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #295
- US rank
- #4783
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 3,657
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,253
- Household income
- $80,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 250.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% American 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.50%
- Current HPI
- 316.8595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+144.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $219,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $229,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2026-04-08 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $239,900 CNYIS
- 2019-12-26 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2019-06-26 Listed $165,000 CNYIS
- 2013-08-01 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2013-07-29 Sold (MLS) $110,220 CNYIS
- 2013-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $110,500 Public Records
- 2013-04-07 Listed $114,900 CNYIS
- 2011-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $92,320 Public Records
- 2011-04-19 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2011-04-18 Sold (MLS) $92,220 CNYIS
- 2011-02-20 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,366 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…